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Rising care needs: The number of people in need of care will increase to around four million by 2035

Rising care needs: The number of people in need of care will increase to around four million by 2035


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More and more people in need of care: Money alone is no longer enough

According to experts, the number of people in need of care in Germany will increase to four million by 2035. But nursing home care is already lacking - and the gap is widening all the time. The problem will not be solved with money alone.

More and more people need care

The World Health Organization (WHO) has reported increasing life expectancy worldwide in recent years. That of the Germans had even reached a new record level. In view of the aging society there are also more and more people in need of care. According to a simulation calculation by the employers' institute for the German economy (IW), four million people in Germany could be dependent on care by 2035. However, there is already a shortage of skilled workers - and the gap is widening.

Share of people in need of long-term care particularly high in eastern Germany

As the IW wrote in a statement, around three million people nationwide needed care in 2015, around 50 percent more than in 1999.

Especially in eastern Germany, the proportion of people in need of care in the total population is above average.

It is around five percent in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and more than four percent in Saxony - the national average is 3.7 percent.

The IW simulation shows that the number of people in need of care will increase to around four million by 2035.

The number of nurses must rise sharply

In order to ensure that these people can continue to be cared for in the future, the number of nursing professionals across Germany must rise sharply - by 2035 to around half a million; an increase of a good 44 percent compared to today.

Care for the elderly is already urgently sought, in 2017 there were just 22 unemployed for every 100 vacancies. This has further exacerbated the situation in recent years.

“The number of geriatric nurses is currently increasing, but more slowly than the need. The gap is widening, ”commented IW scientist Susanna Kochskämper.

As the institute writes, the federal and state governments must create the framework conditions for adequate care and make the nursing profession more attractive in order to prevent collapse.

"It's not just about raising the salary," Kochskämper emphasized. This also applies to the further training of nursing assistants, digitalization also offers the opportunity to optimize processes and relieve the burden on nurses.

"But such measures can only be fruitful in the long term if bureaucracy is consistently reduced at the same time," says the expert. (ad)

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